Bet On Nfl Games
Get the latest NFL odds, point spreads, money lines and over/unders for popular sportsbooks and view SportsLine's expert analysis of each upcoming game. A proposition bet is a kind of side bet that asks you to wager on something besides the final outcome of a game. In the NFL, they typically come in the form of player or team prop bets, such as how many passing yards or touchdowns a quarterback will throw in a given game, or whether a safety will be scored. Aug 20, 2020 Luckily, our live NFL odds page will give you the best line at a legal book no matter what you want to bet. Don’t be lazy and just bet at the book you are logged into. Betting the Steelers moneyline +130 at one book you’re logged into instead of betting them +132 at another may not seem like a big difference, but it adds up over time. A proposition bet is a kind of side bet that asks you to wager on something besides the final outcome of a game. In the NFL, they typically come in the form of player or team prop bets, such as how many.
The ultimate resource to help you find the best bets each day in NFL football.
Here you will find a list of our best NFL bets against the spread. This page will be updated several times over the weekend.
The page is divided into 4 simple sections.
The first section lists all of our premium member best bets for the day. This section lists all the games for all sports, including NFL. If you don't have a membership at Doc's Sports then you can test out our premium best bets risk free with a complimentary free $60 account here.
The second section lists a couple of our complimentary NFL best bet matchup reports. We write these for every single NFL game. These articles are more for the do-it-yourself types that want to really dig in and also have the time do the extensive research required each day.
The third section ties into the second section where our experts give advice on what to do with the information and how to spot a best bet in NFL.
NFL Best Bets Tonight [Updated daily]
TODAY'S TOP PLAYS
DAILY PICKS AVAILABLE TO BUY AND VIEW UNTIL 1 A.M. EST
THIS WEEK'S FOOTBALL TOP PLAYS
All Plays Are Side Plays Unless Otherwise Noted
SUNDAY
DOC’S SPORTS – 7-Unit NFL Side (6:30 p.m.)
ALLEN EASTMAN – 7-Unit NFL 411 Side (6:30 p.m.)
STRIKE POINT SPORTS – 7-Unit NFL Side (6:30 p.m.)
ROBERT FERRINGO – 7-Unit NFL Prop Play (6:30 p.m.)
VERNON CROY – 7-Unit NFL First Half Side (6:30 p.m.)
SCOTT SPREITZER – 5-Unit NFL Side (6:30 p.m.)
DOUG UPSTONE – 5-Unit NFL Total (6:30 p.m.)
NOTE: Several handicappers have Kansas City. Several have Tampa Bay. If you use two or more handicappers some plays may conflict.
----- CBB - NBA - NHL - MLB - Soccer - Golf - MMA - Tennis - And Others Updated Daily -----
ALLEN EASTMAN is looking to score big before the Super Bowl! Eastman has a 7-Unit College Basketball Play (3 p.m.). Eastman is coming off a winning Saturday and this is a way to pad your bankroll before The Big Game! Click BUY NOW below and get this one.
Existing members log in to buy now or if you are new set up a free account.
Sign up for one of the above best NFL expert picks here. If you are not ready to sign up for one of our top NFL plays, below you will find a free NFL pick and matchup report. You can get free NFL picks weekly for every game here.
Complimentary NFL games for today [Updated daily]
Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, 2/7/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Super Bowl
by Tony Sink - 1/26/2021
The Kansas City Chiefs hit the road to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium (6:30 PM EST). The expected starters at QB are Patrick Mahomes for the Chiefs and Tom Brady for the Buccaneers. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread. Read More >>
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, 1/24/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, NFC Championship
by Tony Sink - 1/19/2021
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field (3:05 PM EST). The quarterbacks expected to start the game are Tom Brady for the Buccaneers and Aaron Rodgers for the Packers. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread. Read More >>
What Makes a Best Bet in NFL? [Updated during the season]
NFL Best Bet Tipsters | Top 10 Tips | NFL Football Best Bets Advice |
Doc's Sports | Bet teams off embarrassing losses… | |
Robert Ferringo | Locate misleading final scores… | |
Raphael Esparza | Ride the hot teams all the way… | |
Strike Point Sports | Look for the short home favorite… | |
Allen Eastman | You have to be able to set lines… | |
Jason Sharpe | Injuries are an important factor… | |
Doug Upstone | QB play, scheduling and injuries… | |
Alan Harris | Best against the public for big plays… | |
Vernon Croy | Best bets should have the best value… | |
Tony George | Bet on numbers, not games… |
Doc's Sports Service is the most trusted and well-respected sports information company in the United States. Below you will find a list of 10 tips for finding an NFL best bet each week from 10 of the top NFL Football handicapping experts in the country. Our service is second-to-none in terms of both results and customer relations. With nearly 50 years of handicapping experience, Doc's Sports is the gold standard in the sports information industry.
We offer our clients top NFL Football predictions at one fair price. Our NFL Football handicappers release a full slate of NFL Football picks at 6 p.m. EST each Thursday throughout the season. Every one of our NFL Football handicappers has a different style, but all have enjoyed vast success, including putting up some big numbers with their weekly best bets and top games, available every week for just $30 apiece.
Here are 10 tips from our NFL handicappers on how to find an NFL best bet each week:
Bet On Nfl Games Online
DOC'S SPORTS – An NFL best bet for me is a team that is coming off an embarrassing performance the week before. All NFL players are paid professionals and have pride and do not like to be blown out on television. Therefore, I like to play a team that got blown out the week before. The oddsmakers usually inflate the spread because they public saw how bad they looked the week prior. An example of this from 2016 is a Week 2 game between Seattle and Los Angeles. The Rams opened up on Monday Night Football at San Francisco and lost 28-0 in embarrassing fashion. They were a +5.5-point home underdog the following week against Seattle and won that game straight up by a score of 9-3.
ROBERT FERRINGO – When I am handicapping, regardless of sport, I think it is important not to just look at what happened but why and how it happened. There are so many misleading scores in the NFL each week that it is crucial to go back and re-watch games and analyze box scores to find those 'hidden plays' that may have had an outsized impact on a game. There are also several statistics that I use that correlate total yardage, yardage differential, scoring and both ATS and over/under performance. And when I see statistical outliers I just know that a best bet is coming. For example, in 2017 one of my biggest totals bets of the year came in Week 10 on the 'over' between Jacksonville and Houston. This total wasn't on anyone's radar, but I was all over it for my NFL best bet that weekend. The Jaguars had rung up 450 yards and 25 first downs the week before against a tough Chiefs defense. But they only scored 14 points because of three fumbles, an INT, a missed field goal and a dropped touchdown pass. They had been averaging around 370 yards per game but just 17 points in their previous four games, so I just knew they were destined to put some points on the board. Sure enough, that game went 'over' the total and kicked off a stretch where the Jaguars went 5-2 against the total and they closed the season going 7-3 on the 'over' in their last 10 games. You can't just look at final scores. You have to analyze how things played out, and that will help you determine what results are legit and which ones were flukes. And then bet the next week accordingly.
RAPHAEL ESPARZA - What I have noticed in the NFL both behind the counter and now in front of the counter is that your NFL best bets should be on hot teams until they are no longer hot. Ask any Vegas or online sportsbook director, and in 2016 the books struggled with the New England Patriots, Dallas Cowboys and the Oakland Raiders repeatedly covering point spreads. And I'm not even talking about moneyline parlays, teasers, and the hot teams that covered the totals. Normally the NFL oddsmakers are really good on Sunday, but every year there is between 1-3 teams that every Sunday the books do not want to see win and cover games. Find out those teams and ride them and you will cash straight bets, moneyline parlays and of course your top plays of the week.
STRIKE POINT SPORTS- A handicapper doesn't want to try to find a best bet each and every week because they just aren't always there. Strike Point Sports prides itself on careful, strategic selections, and this proves beneficial when finding the 'big play' or 'best bet of the week'. We tend to lean towards a home team that is getting less than three points. In many cases when two teams are even, Las Vegas will lay the field goal spread on the home team. When they set the line less than that there is value to be had, especially if it is a team that plays well in front of their home fans. Keep an eye out for the 'short home favorite' in the NFL when you're looking for a best bet. We all know the normal 3-point line on a home team, but we don't all realize the value on the short chalk. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here
ALLEN EASTMAN – If you want to be a good NFL handicapper, then you need to be able to think like an oddsmaker. I make my own spread for every single game. And then I compare my lines to the lines that the sportsbooks release. I look where there are the biggest differences, and those are the games I look at first. Of course, it helps when I also have the NFL 411 System, which is based on more than 90 different statistics. It is very detailed, and that is why it is the only documented NFL system to hit better than 60 percent for the past 11 years while producing more than +$25,000 in profit. When I am looking for a best bet, I look to the NFL 411 System. But if you don't have these plays then your best bet each week should be on the play where there is the biggest difference between your spread and the spread the books have out. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here
JASON SHARPE - The reason why the NFL is considered the toughest sport to win at betting-wise is because information in this sport is everywhere. So trying to look at the stats, watch the games, and paying attention to final scores isn't enough to give someone an edge in this sport. The key is to focus on the one area that the NFL betting markets don't place a big enough emphasis on, and that area is with injuries. The NFL is the sport that deals the most with game-to-game injuries. Being on top of this is where one can find their biggest edges overall as an NFL bettor. I'm not talking about well-known injuries to quarterbacks, but instead look at the guys that most folks don't pay attention to like offensive lineman or guys in the secondary. It's not just about who's out of a particular game for a team, either, but also how good/bad the guy replacing them is also and how big of a drop-off overall there is from player to player. Just as important as that is knowing which guys are now back in the lineup from a recent injury and that effects the team compared to how they played when he is out with an injury. Last year on October 30 I won my 7-Unit NFL total on 'over' in the Washington/Cincinnati game. Both teams had been missing their All-Pro level tight ends of late but both were expected to be back in this one and at full strength. There were a lot of examples of both teams offenses struggling without those two guys on the field earlier in the year, and both coaches had stated how valuable both guys were not only because of how good they are but also because there wasn't another player on their rosters who could bring what these two had brought to their respective teams. Both guys had a huge impact in this contest as they each caught nine passes in the game and helped open up their team's offense, which in turn pushed this game 'over' the total. You have to keep very good notes on players injuries and the effects on their team, and if you do so you can gain a big edge in a sport that doesn't have as many big edges. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here
DOUG UPSTONE - The methodology I use is by starting to create a spread based on three power ratings I use. They all have various components, designed to cover different aspects of the teams in a particular contest. Next, is the statistical advantages one team might have over another, particularly at quarterback, running the ball, stopping the run and rushing the opposing quarterback. If those show up as more one-way edges and match my power rankings, I move to the next step. That would be finding systems I have developed and look to find more evidence of a special play, and specifically I'm after ones that have a 75 percent or higher cover rate and with a minimum of 30 game outcomes and the scoring average rather easily covers the spread. Up next is reviewing situational aspects, that are team specific, which often can be nuggets of extremely useful information. The cherry on the top of the cake is looking at line movement or the lack of it in the first part of the week. If the power ratings are strong, the stats are in my favor, a system or two light up, and the situation is nicely favorable on the NFL contest that is not on everyone's radar to start a week, that is what I'm looking for in a big play!
ALAN HARRIS - Working in various Las Vegas sportsbooks for eight years has shown me firsthand that you have to bet against the public when making a big move. Information is now readily available on the web that wasn't around even five years ago, and it's fairly easy to find out what the public is on at various offshore sportsbooks. This info isn't as readily available for the Vegas books, so still having a few connections there certainly doesn't hurt things on our end. It's been noted for those that are behind the counter that if you just bet against the top five teams that the public has put into parlays by closing time on Saturday night, you'd come out ahead at the end of the season. Now, like any system, this isn't foolproof, but being on the side the house needs, especially in the NFL, is never a bad thing. In 2016, we used this theory to perfection in hitting our 8-Unit NFL Playoff Game of the Year with the Packers +5.5 on the road at Dallas in the Divisional Round. Dallas opened up as a 3.5-point favorite, and the books couldn't get a bet on the Packers. We already liked Green Bay, and talking to a few sports book managers around town just confirmed it. We cashed this one with the Packers winning outright, 34-31, advancing to the NFC Championship.
VERNON CROY- A best bet for me in the NFL must fall into one of my top systems. I almost always want to see a line where I feel there is exceptional value. So say the Bears are favored by three points, and my analytics have them winning by 14 points, then there is exceptional line value with the Bears at -3 since the line is off by 11 points. Generally I also want the top play to be going against public perception, as there is added value, especially in the NFL. I want all top plays to have a high percentage of winning regardless of the sport. I have been very successful in the NFL with my top plays because of my 19 years of experience, and I learn from my losses and build on wins.
TONY GEORGE – More so than other sports, you bet numbers in the NFL, not games. In all sports the number is important. However the NFL system I use is power ratings measured against the Las Vegas line based on numerous criteria. When I have an overlay against the spread of more than five points and up to six points, then I will make it my NFL best bet of the weekend. And any numbers bigger than that, which is very rare, I will triple up the normal wager for a huge play. In 2016 I had the Steelers at the Browns laying eight with an overlay of six points. That means my power rating between Pittsburgh and Cleveland was 14 points. That was my Game of the Year in 2016. Your average overlay is around three or four points, if that. Pittsburgh won 24-9, which was by 15 points, so my power rating was off just one point. It is all about the numbers and power ratings in the NFL. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here
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The ultimate resource to help you find the best bets each day in NFL football.
Here you will find a list of our best NFL bets against the spread. This page will be updated several times over the weekend.
The page is divided into 4 simple sections.
The first section lists all of our premium member best bets for the day. This section lists all the games for all sports, including NFL. If you don't have a membership at Doc's Sports then you can test out our premium best bets risk free with a complimentary free $60 account here.
The second section lists a couple of our complimentary NFL best bet matchup reports. We write these for every single NFL game. These articles are more for the do-it-yourself types that want to really dig in and also have the time do the extensive research required each day.
The third section ties into the second section where our experts give advice on what to do with the information and how to spot a best bet in NFL.
NFL Best Bets Tonight [Updated daily]
TODAY'S TOP PLAYS
DAILY PICKS AVAILABLE TO BUY AND VIEW UNTIL 1 A.M. EST
THIS WEEK'S FOOTBALL TOP PLAYS
All Plays Are Side Plays Unless Otherwise Noted
SUNDAY
DOC’S SPORTS – 7-Unit NFL Side (6:30 p.m.)
ALLEN EASTMAN – 7-Unit NFL 411 Side (6:30 p.m.)
STRIKE POINT SPORTS – 7-Unit NFL Side (6:30 p.m.)
ROBERT FERRINGO – 7-Unit NFL Prop Play (6:30 p.m.)
VERNON CROY – 7-Unit NFL First Half Side (6:30 p.m.)
SCOTT SPREITZER – 5-Unit NFL Side (6:30 p.m.)
DOUG UPSTONE – 5-Unit NFL Total (6:30 p.m.)
NOTE: Several handicappers have Kansas City. Several have Tampa Bay. If you use two or more handicappers some plays may conflict.
----- CBB - NBA - NHL - MLB - Soccer - Golf - MMA - Tennis - And Others Updated Daily -----
ALLEN EASTMAN is looking to score big before the Super Bowl! Eastman has a 7-Unit College Basketball Play (3 p.m.). Eastman is coming off a winning Saturday and this is a way to pad your bankroll before The Big Game! Click BUY NOW below and get this one.
Existing members log in to buy now or if you are new set up a free account.
Sign up for one of the above best NFL expert picks here. If you are not ready to sign up for one of our top NFL plays, below you will find a free NFL pick and matchup report. You can get free NFL picks weekly for every game here.
Complimentary NFL games for today [Updated daily]
Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, 2/7/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Super Bowl
by Tony Sink - 1/26/2021
The Kansas City Chiefs hit the road to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium (6:30 PM EST). The expected starters at QB are Patrick Mahomes for the Chiefs and Tom Brady for the Buccaneers. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread. Read More >>
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, 1/24/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, NFC Championship
by Tony Sink - 1/19/2021
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field (3:05 PM EST). The quarterbacks expected to start the game are Tom Brady for the Buccaneers and Aaron Rodgers for the Packers. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread. Read More >>
What Makes a Best Bet in NFL? [Updated during the season]
NFL Best Bet Tipsters | Top 10 Tips | NFL Football Best Bets Advice |
Doc's Sports | Bet teams off embarrassing losses… | |
Robert Ferringo | Locate misleading final scores… | |
Raphael Esparza | Ride the hot teams all the way… | |
Strike Point Sports | Look for the short home favorite… | |
Allen Eastman | You have to be able to set lines… | |
Jason Sharpe | Injuries are an important factor… | |
Doug Upstone | QB play, scheduling and injuries… | |
Alan Harris | Best against the public for big plays… | |
Vernon Croy | Best bets should have the best value… | |
Tony George | Bet on numbers, not games… |
Nfl Online Betting
Doc's Sports Service is the most trusted and well-respected sports information company in the United States. Below you will find a list of 10 tips for finding an NFL best bet each week from 10 of the top NFL Football handicapping experts in the country. Our service is second-to-none in terms of both results and customer relations. With nearly 50 years of handicapping experience, Doc's Sports is the gold standard in the sports information industry.
We offer our clients top NFL Football predictions at one fair price. Our NFL Football handicappers release a full slate of NFL Football picks at 6 p.m. EST each Thursday throughout the season. Every one of our NFL Football handicappers has a different style, but all have enjoyed vast success, including putting up some big numbers with their weekly best bets and top games, available every week for just $30 apiece.
Here are 10 tips from our NFL handicappers on how to find an NFL best bet each week:
DOC'S SPORTS – An NFL best bet for me is a team that is coming off an embarrassing performance the week before. All NFL players are paid professionals and have pride and do not like to be blown out on television. Therefore, I like to play a team that got blown out the week before. The oddsmakers usually inflate the spread because they public saw how bad they looked the week prior. An example of this from 2016 is a Week 2 game between Seattle and Los Angeles. The Rams opened up on Monday Night Football at San Francisco and lost 28-0 in embarrassing fashion. They were a +5.5-point home underdog the following week against Seattle and won that game straight up by a score of 9-3.
ROBERT FERRINGO – When I am handicapping, regardless of sport, I think it is important not to just look at what happened but why and how it happened. There are so many misleading scores in the NFL each week that it is crucial to go back and re-watch games and analyze box scores to find those 'hidden plays' that may have had an outsized impact on a game. There are also several statistics that I use that correlate total yardage, yardage differential, scoring and both ATS and over/under performance. And when I see statistical outliers I just know that a best bet is coming. For example, in 2017 one of my biggest totals bets of the year came in Week 10 on the 'over' between Jacksonville and Houston. This total wasn't on anyone's radar, but I was all over it for my NFL best bet that weekend. The Jaguars had rung up 450 yards and 25 first downs the week before against a tough Chiefs defense. But they only scored 14 points because of three fumbles, an INT, a missed field goal and a dropped touchdown pass. They had been averaging around 370 yards per game but just 17 points in their previous four games, so I just knew they were destined to put some points on the board. Sure enough, that game went 'over' the total and kicked off a stretch where the Jaguars went 5-2 against the total and they closed the season going 7-3 on the 'over' in their last 10 games. You can't just look at final scores. You have to analyze how things played out, and that will help you determine what results are legit and which ones were flukes. And then bet the next week accordingly.
RAPHAEL ESPARZA - What I have noticed in the NFL both behind the counter and now in front of the counter is that your NFL best bets should be on hot teams until they are no longer hot. Ask any Vegas or online sportsbook director, and in 2016 the books struggled with the New England Patriots, Dallas Cowboys and the Oakland Raiders repeatedly covering point spreads. And I'm not even talking about moneyline parlays, teasers, and the hot teams that covered the totals. Normally the NFL oddsmakers are really good on Sunday, but every year there is between 1-3 teams that every Sunday the books do not want to see win and cover games. Find out those teams and ride them and you will cash straight bets, moneyline parlays and of course your top plays of the week.
STRIKE POINT SPORTS- A handicapper doesn't want to try to find a best bet each and every week because they just aren't always there. Strike Point Sports prides itself on careful, strategic selections, and this proves beneficial when finding the 'big play' or 'best bet of the week'. We tend to lean towards a home team that is getting less than three points. In many cases when two teams are even, Las Vegas will lay the field goal spread on the home team. When they set the line less than that there is value to be had, especially if it is a team that plays well in front of their home fans. Keep an eye out for the 'short home favorite' in the NFL when you're looking for a best bet. We all know the normal 3-point line on a home team, but we don't all realize the value on the short chalk. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here
ALLEN EASTMAN – If you want to be a good NFL handicapper, then you need to be able to think like an oddsmaker. I make my own spread for every single game. And then I compare my lines to the lines that the sportsbooks release. I look where there are the biggest differences, and those are the games I look at first. Of course, it helps when I also have the NFL 411 System, which is based on more than 90 different statistics. It is very detailed, and that is why it is the only documented NFL system to hit better than 60 percent for the past 11 years while producing more than +$25,000 in profit. When I am looking for a best bet, I look to the NFL 411 System. But if you don't have these plays then your best bet each week should be on the play where there is the biggest difference between your spread and the spread the books have out. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here
JASON SHARPE - The reason why the NFL is considered the toughest sport to win at betting-wise is because information in this sport is everywhere. So trying to look at the stats, watch the games, and paying attention to final scores isn't enough to give someone an edge in this sport. The key is to focus on the one area that the NFL betting markets don't place a big enough emphasis on, and that area is with injuries. The NFL is the sport that deals the most with game-to-game injuries. Being on top of this is where one can find their biggest edges overall as an NFL bettor. I'm not talking about well-known injuries to quarterbacks, but instead look at the guys that most folks don't pay attention to like offensive lineman or guys in the secondary. It's not just about who's out of a particular game for a team, either, but also how good/bad the guy replacing them is also and how big of a drop-off overall there is from player to player. Just as important as that is knowing which guys are now back in the lineup from a recent injury and that effects the team compared to how they played when he is out with an injury. Last year on October 30 I won my 7-Unit NFL total on 'over' in the Washington/Cincinnati game. Both teams had been missing their All-Pro level tight ends of late but both were expected to be back in this one and at full strength. There were a lot of examples of both teams offenses struggling without those two guys on the field earlier in the year, and both coaches had stated how valuable both guys were not only because of how good they are but also because there wasn't another player on their rosters who could bring what these two had brought to their respective teams. Both guys had a huge impact in this contest as they each caught nine passes in the game and helped open up their team's offense, which in turn pushed this game 'over' the total. You have to keep very good notes on players injuries and the effects on their team, and if you do so you can gain a big edge in a sport that doesn't have as many big edges. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here
Bet On Nfl Games In Vegas
DOUG UPSTONE - The methodology I use is by starting to create a spread based on three power ratings I use. They all have various components, designed to cover different aspects of the teams in a particular contest. Next, is the statistical advantages one team might have over another, particularly at quarterback, running the ball, stopping the run and rushing the opposing quarterback. If those show up as more one-way edges and match my power rankings, I move to the next step. That would be finding systems I have developed and look to find more evidence of a special play, and specifically I'm after ones that have a 75 percent or higher cover rate and with a minimum of 30 game outcomes and the scoring average rather easily covers the spread. Up next is reviewing situational aspects, that are team specific, which often can be nuggets of extremely useful information. The cherry on the top of the cake is looking at line movement or the lack of it in the first part of the week. If the power ratings are strong, the stats are in my favor, a system or two light up, and the situation is nicely favorable on the NFL contest that is not on everyone's radar to start a week, that is what I'm looking for in a big play!
ALAN HARRIS - Working in various Las Vegas sportsbooks for eight years has shown me firsthand that you have to bet against the public when making a big move. Information is now readily available on the web that wasn't around even five years ago, and it's fairly easy to find out what the public is on at various offshore sportsbooks. This info isn't as readily available for the Vegas books, so still having a few connections there certainly doesn't hurt things on our end. It's been noted for those that are behind the counter that if you just bet against the top five teams that the public has put into parlays by closing time on Saturday night, you'd come out ahead at the end of the season. Now, like any system, this isn't foolproof, but being on the side the house needs, especially in the NFL, is never a bad thing. In 2016, we used this theory to perfection in hitting our 8-Unit NFL Playoff Game of the Year with the Packers +5.5 on the road at Dallas in the Divisional Round. Dallas opened up as a 3.5-point favorite, and the books couldn't get a bet on the Packers. We already liked Green Bay, and talking to a few sports book managers around town just confirmed it. We cashed this one with the Packers winning outright, 34-31, advancing to the NFC Championship.
VERNON CROY- A best bet for me in the NFL must fall into one of my top systems. I almost always want to see a line where I feel there is exceptional value. So say the Bears are favored by three points, and my analytics have them winning by 14 points, then there is exceptional line value with the Bears at -3 since the line is off by 11 points. Generally I also want the top play to be going against public perception, as there is added value, especially in the NFL. I want all top plays to have a high percentage of winning regardless of the sport. I have been very successful in the NFL with my top plays because of my 19 years of experience, and I learn from my losses and build on wins.
TONY GEORGE – More so than other sports, you bet numbers in the NFL, not games. In all sports the number is important. However the NFL system I use is power ratings measured against the Las Vegas line based on numerous criteria. When I have an overlay against the spread of more than five points and up to six points, then I will make it my NFL best bet of the weekend. And any numbers bigger than that, which is very rare, I will triple up the normal wager for a huge play. In 2016 I had the Steelers at the Browns laying eight with an overlay of six points. That means my power rating between Pittsburgh and Cleveland was 14 points. That was my Game of the Year in 2016. Your average overlay is around three or four points, if that. Pittsburgh won 24-9, which was by 15 points, so my power rating was off just one point. It is all about the numbers and power ratings in the NFL. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here
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